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LC14_AMAZON_SCENARIOS LBA-ECO LC-14 Modeled Deforestation Scenarios, Amazon Basin: 2002-2050 SOARES-FILHO, B.S.; NEPSTAD, D.C.; CURRAN, L.M.; VOLL, E.; GARCIA, R.A.; RAMOS, C.A.; MCDONALD, A.J.; LEFEBVRE, P.A.; SCHLESINGER, P. LBA-ECO LC-14 Modeled Deforestation Scenarios, Amazon Basin: 2002-2050 2013 Oak Ridge, Tennessee, U.S.A. Oak Ridge National Laboratory Distributed Active Archive Center Online Files doi:10.3334/ORNLDAAC/1153 1153

ABSTRACT: This data set provides the results of the two modeled scenarios for future patterns of deforestation across the Amazon Basin from 2002 to 2050. This larger defined Amazon Basin (PanAmazon area) includes the Amazon River watershed, the Legal Amazon in Brazil, and the Guiana region. The model SimAmazonia was used to simulate monthly deforestation in the Amazon Basin from 2002 to 2050 for two scenarios: (1) a "Business-as-Usual" scenario, which considered the deforestation trends across the basin and projected the rates by using historical images and their variations from 1997 to 2002 and then added to that the effect of paving a set of major roads, and (2) a "Governance" scenario, that also considered the current deforestation trends, but assumed a 50% limit imposed for deforested land within each basin's subregion, and that existing and proposed Protected Areas (PAs), play a decisive role in limiting deforestation as well (Soares et al., 2006). The provided data products include one GeoTiff (*.tif) for each year (2002 to 2050) for both model scenarios for a total of 98 files. The files have been compressed in two *.zip files, one for each model scenario. There is also one comma-delimited file that contains the model input data derived from satellite deforestation maps.

2002-01-01 2050-12-31 COMPLETE -55.77 12.98 -81.86 -34.29 ESIP Earth Science Information Partners Program EOSDIS Earth Observing System Data Information System TECHNICAL CONTACT ORNL DAAC User Services ORNL DAAC USER SERVICES OFFICE OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LABORATORY OAK RIDGE, TENNESSEE 37831 USA DIF AUTHOR ORNL DAAC User Services ornldaac@ornl.gov (865) 241-3952 (865) 574-4665

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Oak Ridge Tennessee 37831-6407 USA 2013-04-05 ORNL_DAAC THE OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LABORATORY (ORNL) DISTRIBUTED ACTIVE ARCHIVE CENTER (DAAC) http://daac.ornl.gov/ 1153 DATA CENTER CONTACT ORNL DAAC USER SERVICES ornldaac@ornl.gov +1(865)241-3952 +1(865)574-4665

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Oak Ridge Tennessee 37831-6407 USA EARTH SCIENCE HUMAN DIMENSIONS HABITAT CONVERSION/FRAGMENTATION DEFORESTATION EARTH SCIENCE LAND SURFACE LAND USE/LAND COVER LAND USE/LAND COVER CLASSIFICATION LAND USE AGRICULTURE DEFORESTATION COMPUTER MODELS PROTECTED AREAS BRAZILIAN AMAZON AGROECONOMIC STATISTICS GET DATA http://daac.ornl.gov/cgi-bin/dsviewer.pl?ds_id=1153 VIEW RELATED INFORMATION https://daac.ornl.gov//LBA/guides/LC14_Amazon_Scenarios.html LBA-ECO LC-14 Modeled Deforestation Scenarios, Amazon Basin: 2002-2050 USA/NASA ENGLISH GCMD CEOS IDN DIF VERSION 9.0