Assessment Activities
- “Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change”, an assessment by a WMO Expert Team (Nature Geoscience, March 2010). For a copy of the full article, contact (email): nlomarda@wmo.int
- NOAA State of the Science Fact Sheet on “Atlantic Hurricanes, Climate Variability, and Global Warming”
Publications
- Bibliography (including .pdf versions of abstracts and some full articles)
Technical Notes
- A Note on 20th Century Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures as Reconstructed in the LDEO and UKMO Data Sets
- FMS Slab Ocean Model Technical Documentation
Data Sets
- Simulated Atlantic basin and global tropical cyclone track and intensity data sets
- Adjusted observed Atlantic tropical storm or hurricane data sets (please see “Data Access” on Gabe Vecchi’s home page)
Climate Group Research
GFDL Global Warming Simulation
Thomas R. Knutson
Research Meteorologist
Group Leader: GFDL Climate Impacts and Extremes Group
Co-Chair (with John McBride, Australia): World Meteorological Organization Expert Team on Climate Change Impacts on
Tropical Cyclones
Research Interests
- Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change:
- Has Global Warming Affected Atlantic Hurricane Activity? (Overview web page, Updated Oct. 2016)
- Global Projections of Intense Tropical Cyclone Activity for the Late Twenty-First Century from Dynamical Downscaling of CMIP5/RCP4.5 Scenarios (J. Climate, Sept. 2015).
- Dynamical Downscaling Projections of Twenty-First-Century Atlantic Hurricane Activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Model-Based Scenarios (J. Climate,Sept. 2013). See Research Highlight page (summary of article).
- Modeled Impact of Anthropogenic Warming on the Frequency of Intense Atlantic
Hurricanes. Science, Jan. 2010) - How well do we know past Atlantic hurricane activity? A web site on adjusting for “missing storms” in the past Atlantic hurricane data. Adjusted datasets are available here.
- Simulated Hurricane Animations Web Page
- Impacts of Greenhouse Gas-Induced Warming:
- Atlantic Hurricane Activity
- Global Tropical Cyclone Activity (J. Climate, 2015)
- Sahel Drought (Held et al. PNAS paper)
- Summertime Heat Index Values
- Coral Bleaching (Donner et al. PNAS paper)
- Arctic Sea Ice Extent (Zhang and Knutson, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2013)
- Climate Change Detection and Attribution:
- Prospects for a prolonged slowdown in global warming in the early 21st century. Nature Communications (2016). Supplemental Material.
- Detection of anthropogenic influence on a summertime heat stress index. Climate Dynamics (2016). Supplemental Material.
- Record annual mean warmth over Europe, the northeast Pacific, and the northwest Atlantic during 2014: Assessment of anthropogenic influence. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (2015)
- Multimodel assessment of extreme annual-mean warm anomalies during 2013 over regions of Australia and the western tropical Pacific. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (2014).
- Seasonal and annual mean precipitation extremes occurring during
2013: A U.S. focused analysis. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (2014). See also the Research Highlight. page.
- The Extreme March-May 2012 Warm Anotmaly over the Eastern United States: Global Context and Multimodel Trend Analysis. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (2013) See Research Highlight page (article summary).
- Arctic Sea Ice Extent in 2012: The role of global climate change. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (2013)
- Multimodel Assessment of Regional Surface Temperature Trends: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Twentieth-Century Simulations (J. Climate, Nov. 2013). See Research Highlight page (summary of article).
- Simulation of Early 20th Century Global Warming
- Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability and Trends
- Coral Bleaching (Donner et al. PNAS paper)
- Land cover change affects on climate (Findell et al. 2006)
